The stage is set for Super Bowl LX, and sportsbooks have wasted no time installing the Seattle Seahawks as definitive favorites over the New England Patriots. Following a thrilling Championship Sunday that saw Seattle dismantle the Los Angeles Rams 31-27 and New England survive a snowy 10-7 slog against the Denver Broncos, opening lines have positioned the Seahawks as 4.5-point favorites for the February 8 showdown at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara. This matchup offers a rich historical narrative—a rematch of the iconic Super Bowl XLIX clash—but for bettors, the focus is squarely on the present: Sam Darnold's surprisingly efficient Seahawks offense versus Drake Maye's resilient but turnover-prone Patriots squad.

Super Bowl LX Betting Odds & Line Movement

As of Monday morning, major U.S. sportsbooks have solidified the Seahawks as the team to beat. The opening line debuted at Seahawks -3.5 but quickly was bid up to -4.5 as early money poured in on the NFC champions. The moneyline reflects this confidence, with Seattle sitting around -240 (bet $240 to win $100) and New England offering value as +198 underdogs.

The total for the game opened at 46.5 points, a number that balances Seattle's explosive postseason scoring—averaging over 35 points per game in the playoffs—against a Patriots defense that has allowed just 16 points or fewer in their last three contests. Sharp bettors are already eyeing the Over, banking on ideal weather conditions in Santa Clara compared to the blizzard New England just endured in Denver.

Seahawks vs. Patriots: Analyzing the Point Spread

The 4.5-point spread indicates that oddsmakers view Seattle as a significantly more complete team on a neutral field. The Seahawks, led by head coach Mike Macdonald, have boasted the NFL's top scoring defense this season, allowing just 17.2 points per game. Their defensive front, which generated consistent pressure without blitzing heavily against the Rams, poses a nightmare matchup for a Patriots offensive line that has struggled to protect Drake Maye.

Conversely, the Patriots have thrived in the underdog role throughout these playoffs. Under Mike Vrabel, New England has covered the spread in two of their three postseason victories. However, their reliance on a "bend-don't-break" defense and a run-heavy approach might find its limit against Seattle's disciplined front seven, which has not allowed a 100-yard rusher in 27 consecutive games.

Quarterback Duel: Sam Darnold vs. Drake Maye

Perhaps the most compelling angle for prop bettors is the quarterback matchup. Sam Darnold has shed his "draft bust" label to play the best football of his career. In the NFC Championship, Darnold threw for 346 yards and three touchdowns, continuing a trend where he has excelled specifically on play-action passes. Bettors looking at Darnold's props should note his high completion percentage (over 67% in the playoffs) and his tendency to avoid turnovers in big moments recently.

On the other sideline, rookie sensation Drake Maye faces the biggest test of his young career. While Maye's athleticism was on full display with 65 rushing yards and a touchdown against Denver, his passing stats were stifled by the weather. The concern for Patriots backers is ball security; Maye has fumbled six times in the playoffs, losing three. Prop bets on "Drake Maye Interception: Yes" or "Drake Maye Sacks: Over 3.5" are likely to be popular plays given Seattle's aggressive pass rush.

Betting Trends & Sharp Money Insights

Several key trends are shaping the early Super Bowl LX betting handle:

  • Underdogs in Super Bowls: Historically, underdogs have covered the spread in five of the last six Super Bowls. The Patriots fit this trend perfectly, though the public is currently backing the favorite.
  • The "Unders" in Rematches: In Super Bowl rematches, defensive familiarity often leads to lower-scoring games. With both head coaches having defensive backgrounds, the Under 46.5 is attracting contrarian money.
  • First Quarter Scoring: Seattle has scored on their opening drive in both playoff games this year. A "Seahawks to Score First" wager is currently trading at -130.

X-Factors: Cooper Kupp and Rhamondre Stevenson

Beyond the quarterbacks, player props for Cooper Kupp and Rhamondre Stevenson will be heavily scrutinized. Kupp, rejuvenated in Seattle's scheme, has been Darnold's safety valve, racking up 15 catches in the last two games. Meanwhile, Stevenson remains the engine of the Patriots' offense. If New England hopes to cover the +4.5 spread, Stevenson will likely need 20+ carries to control the clock and keep Darnold off the field.

Early Prediction & Value Plays

While the emotional narrative favors a Patriots revenge tour for the Malcolm Butler interception years ago, the metrics favor Seattle. The Seahawks rank top-three in both offensive and defensive DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average), a profile that typically correlates with Super Bowl winners. The Patriots' path—defeating backup quarterbacks and benefiting from extreme weather—may have masked some offensive deficiencies that Seattle is equipped to exploit.

For bettors, the current line of -4.5 feels efficient, but waiting might reveal better value. If public sentiment shifts toward the underdog Patriots closer to kickoff, grabbing Seattle at -3.5 or -4 could be the sharper play. Conversely, if you believe in the magic of Drake Maye, locking in the +198 moneyline now offers the best return before hedge money potentially shortens the odds.