The stage is set for an electrifying conclusion to the 2025-26 NFL season as the Seattle Seahawks open as 4.5-point favorites over the New England Patriots for Super Bowl LX. Following a Championship Sunday that defied expectations, oddsmakers have installed Seattle as the clear team to beat in this historic rematch of Super Bowl XLIX. With the game scheduled for February 8, 2026, at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, early betting action is already heating up for what promises to be one of the most narrative-rich title games in recent history.

Super Bowl LX Betting Odds Breakdown

As sportsbooks released their opening lines late Sunday night, the consensus spread settled with the Seahawks giving 4.5 points. The moneyline sees Seattle as roughly -210 favorites, implying a win probability of approximately 67%, while the Patriots sit as attractive +175 underdogs. The total (Over/Under) has opened at 47.5, reflecting the clash between Seattle's suffocating defense and New England's opportunistic, young offense.

This Super Bowl LX betting line is significant; it marks the first time the Patriots have been underdogs of more than a field goal in a Super Bowl since their dynasty began two decades ago. Sharps are already eyeing that hook on the 4.5 number, with early money suggesting the public is heavy on the Seahawks' redemption narrative, while value bettors are intriguing by New England's resilience.

Key Betting Numbers

  • Spread: Seahawks -4.5
  • Moneyline: Seahawks -210 / Patriots +175
  • Total: 47.5 Points
  • Venue: Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, CA

The Longshot Patriots: From +8000 to the Big Stage

Few stories in NFL postseason gambling history rival the 2025 New England Patriots. Entering the season with +8000 odds to win the Super Bowl, this rebuilding squad was widely expected to finish last in the AFC East. Instead, head coach Mike Vrabel has orchestrated a masterclass in disciplined football, maximizing the talents of second-year quarterback Drake Maye.

Maye, who led the NFL in Total QBR down the stretch, has shown poise beyond his years, guiding the Patriots through a gauntlet of AFC contenders. For bettors, the Patriots have been a goldmine, covering the spread in 12 of their last 14 games. Their identity as a gritty, defensive-minded team that limits turnovers makes them a dangerous underdog, capable of keeping the game within the 4.5-point margin.

Seahawks' Dominance and the Darnold Redemption

On the other side, the Seattle Seahawks have been the NFC's juggernaut. Under the defensive wizardry of head coach Mike Macdonald, Seattle boasts the league's top-ranked scoring defense, allowing just 17.2 points per game. But the true surprise has been the career renaissance of quarterback Sam Darnold, who has played efficient, mistake-free football to complement a potent rushing attack.

For Super Bowl 60 moneyline bettors, Seattle represents consistency. They have won their playoff games by an average margin of 14 points, rarely allowing opponents to breathe in the fourth quarter. The market's confidence in Seattle stems from their ability to control the clock and force turnovers—a formula that historically pays dividends in the Super Bowl.

The Ghost of Super Bowl XLIX: A Historic Rematch

You cannot discuss Patriots vs Seahawks without evoking the memories of February 1, 2015. Super Bowl XLIX ended in the most dramatic fashion possible: Malcolm Butler's goal-line interception of Russell Wilson. Eleven years later, that play still haunts the Seahawks franchise. This rematch offers a chance for exorcism, a storyline that will dominate media coverage and likely influence the public betting trends.

Interestingly, only a handful of staff members remain from that era, but the institutional memory persists. Betting psychology suggests the "revenge factor" will drive heavy casual betting on Seattle, potentially inflating the line further as kickoff approaches. Smart money will be watching to see if the line hits the key number of -6 or -7, at which point buyback on the Patriots would be expected.

Super Bowl Betting Trends to Watch

When handicapping Super Bowl LX, it is crucial to look at historical data. Favorites of 3.5 to 6 points are historically 6-4 Straight Up (SU) but only 4-6 Against the Spread (ATS) in the last 20 years. This indicates that while favored teams often win, they frequently struggle to cover larger margins against battle-hardened underdogs.

Another trend favors the Under. In Super Bowls played at neutral sites with grass fields (like Levi's Stadium), defense tends to travel well. With both Macdonald and Vrabel being defensive-minded coaches, the 47.5 total might see downward movement as sharp bettors anticipate a tactical, physical battle rather than a shootout.

As we march toward February 8, keep a close eye on the injury reports and line movement. Whether you back the heavy favorites to complete their dominant run or ride the Cinderella story of the Patriots, Super Bowl LX promises to be a betting spectacle for the ages.