As kickoff approaches at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara for Super Bowl LX, the sports betting world is bracing for a historic shattered ceiling. The Seattle Seahawks enter today’s championship clash as 4.5-point favorites over the New England Patriots, a rematch of the iconic Super Bowl 49 that promises to settle a decade-old score. With a projected $1.76 billion in legal wagers expected to be placed across American sportsbooks, Super Bowl 60 marks the most heavily bet event in U.S. history, fueled by the explosive growth of prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket.

Seahawks vs. Patriots: The Odds and The Matchup

The betting lines have remained remarkably stable throughout the week, with the Seahawks (14-3) holding steady as -4.5 favorites. The total for the game is set at 45.5 points, reflecting the defensive pedigree of both head coaches. Seattle’s Mike Macdonald has constructed a defensive unit that rivals the legendary "Legion of Boom," while New England’s Mike Vrabel has instilled a disciplined, physical identity in a Patriots team led by second-year quarterback sensation Drake Maye.

For bettors, the quarterback disparity is the primary handicap. Seattle’s veteran signal-caller Sam Darnold has enjoyed a career renaissance, guiding the NFC’s top seed with efficiency. On the other sideline, Drake Maye has been electric but erratic, a dynamic that typically favors the more experienced defense in Super Bowl environments. The moneyline currently sits at Seahawks -215 and Patriots +180, offering significant value for those believing in a New England upset.

The Super Bowl 49 Revenge Factor

You cannot handicap this game without acknowledging the narrative weight of Super Bowl 49. It has been 11 years since Malcolm Butler’s goal-line interception denied Seattle a repeat title against New England. While the rosters have turned over completely, the institutional memory remains. Public betting splits show 62% of spread tickets on the Seahawks, suggesting the public is banking on Seattle finally exorcising those demons at Levi's Stadium today.

Record-Breaking Handle and the Rise of Prediction Markets

The headline number of $1.76 billion in expected handle represents a significant leap from last year’s figures, driven largely by the mainstream adoption of forecast contracts. While traditional sportsbooks like DraftKings and FanDuel dominate the standard spread and moneyline action, Super Bowl 60 is the first NFL championship where regulated prediction markets are playing a central role.

Kalshi and Polymarket have seen massive inflows of volume on binary outcome contracts. Unlike traditional odds, these markets price events from 1 to 99 cents, allowing for high-frequency trading on micro-outcomes. However, the landscape isn't without its hurdles. Regulatory scrutiny has intensified, with the NFL explicitly prohibiting prediction market advertisements during today’s broadcast. Despite the ad ban, the sheer volume on these platforms suggests that sophisticated bettors are increasingly moving toward these exchange-based models to avoid the vigorous juice charged by traditional books.

Key Betting Trends for Super Bowl LX

Before you lock in your wagers, consider these critical trends that could define the outcome at Levi's Stadium:

  • The Levi's Stadium Factor: The natural grass surface at Levi's Stadium has historically slowed down speed-reliant offenses. This correlates strongly with the Under 45.5, which has attracted sharp money late in the week.
  • NFC Dominance: The NFC has covered the spread in four of the last five Super Bowls, a trend that supports the Seahawks' position as favorites.
  • First Quarter Defense: Both the Seahawks and Patriots ranked in the top 5 for fewest first-quarter points allowed this season. The 1Q Under 7.5 is one of the most popular prop bets on the board.

Essential Super Bowl 60 Prop Bets

Beyond the spread, the prop market offers deep value for discerning bettors. With Green Day kicking off the festivities with the opening ceremony, even entertainment props are seeing record action. Here are the props drawing the most attention:

Drake Maye Rushing Yards: Over 32.5 (-115)

New England’s offense relies heavily on Maye’s mobility, especially when plays break down. Against a Seattle pass rush that led the NFC in sacks, Maye will likely be flushed from the pocket often, creating organic scrambling opportunities.

Sam Darnold Total Interceptions: Over 0.5 (-140)

While Darnold has been efficient, Mike Vrabel’s defensive schemes are designed to confuse quarterbacks. In a high-pressure environment, one mistake is all it takes to cash this ticket, and Darnold has shown a tendency to force throws in tight windows during the playoffs.

Final Prediction

The sharps are aligning with the public on the side, but diverging on the total. The consensus sharp play is Seahawks -4.5 and Under 45.5. Seattle’s defensive consistency and balanced offensive attack should be enough to cover the number, finally securing the franchise's second Lombardi Trophy and closing the book on the heartbreak of 2015.